Tuesday, November 2, 2010
Congressional Cheat Sheet
For those of you who are really into how these elections turn out, you may want to check out the final “cheat sheet” from Hot Air on the Congressional races. http://hotair.com Each Congressional race is ranked 1, 2, 3….through the 100’s as to how likely the seat will switch parties (from R to D, or D to R) in the 2010 election. For example, John Salazar is ranked 43rd most likely (out of 435) to loose his seat (switch from D to R).
The prediction from the political pundits and pollsters ranges from 40 to 70 seats that will switch from Democrat to Republican. A net gain of 39 seats is needed by the Republicans to gain control of the “people’s house”.
As for Colorado and New Mexico, here are likely “switch” ranking numbers. The lower the number, the more likely the seat is to switch (the incumbent, in these two states the are Democrats) to the other party:
New Mexico: NM-1: Incumbent, Martin Heinrich, D-NM 1st Rank=82
NM-2: Incumbent, Harry Teague, D-NM 2nd Rank=26
NM-3: Incumbent, Ben Lujan, Jr. D-NM 3rd Rank=117
Colorado: Colorado 3: Incumbent, John Salazar, D-Colo 3rd Rank=43
Colorado 4: Incumbent, Betsy Markey, D-Colo 4th Rank=10
Colorado 7: Incumbent, Ed Perlmutter, D-Colo 7th Rank=96
And for those of you that would like a map to see the results, try this web site:
Enjoy the election outcomes!
© 2010, Jasper Welch, Four Corners Media, www.jasperwelch.org