Tuesday, January 19, 2010
The People’s Seat
In a stunning upset to the Democrat dominated the state of Massachusetts, Scott Brown overcame the political odds as a long shot GOP candidate in a “deep blue state” to become the 41st vote for the Republicans in the US Senate. Running down by as much as 20 points in the late fall, candidate Brown closed the gap over the Christmas and New Year’s Holiday period, as his “retail campaign” and now famous GMC truck rambled across the home state of John Adams seeking votes.
Brown will become the 41st Republican in the 100-member Senate, which could allow the GOP to block the president's health care legislation. Democrats needed Coakley to win for a 60th vote to thwart Republican filibusters. The trouble may go deeper: Democratic lawmakers could read the results as a vote against Obama's broader agenda, weakening their support for the president. And the results could scare some Democrats from seeking office this fall.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Colorado Guv Opts Out
First term Democrat Governor Bill Ritter surprises supports and his Republican challenger Scott McInnis on Wednesday January 6th with this announcement:
While many pundits, politicians, opponents and journalists have offers reasons why the Governor is not running in 2010, Governor Bill Ritter’s formal reason (as per his office’s press release) is as follows:
As a recovering elected official on a 12-step plan (who served two 4 year terms on the local Durango City Council), and was involved in a 1998 state of Colorado legislative campaign, I can personally attest to the challenges of balancing political and public service with a normal family life.
However, a number of political factors may have been in play, that weren’t mentioned in the Governor’s official press release and statement to the media. According to the Rasmussen Reports, December 2009 polling data showed that the incumbent Democrat Governor was trailing leading Republican challenger Scott McInnis by 8%. In additon, the GOP candidate McInnis has positive favorable vs. unfavorable ratings and leads by 7% points among the critical unaffiliated Colorado voter.
In addition, Colorado has struggled economically under the Ritter administration, and while the US economy has been weak, the public has not perceived the Democrat Governor as the leader of an economy recovery in the state.
It has been said political considerations supercede all other considerations. In case of Governor Ritter, with re-election prospects slipping and polling number weakening, the political reality overcame the official reasons for not running in 2010.
© Jasper Welch, Four Corners Media, www.jasperwelch.org
Monday, January 4, 2010
Shift in Congressional Seats in 2010
Polidata Inc. projects from the 2009 estimates that the reapportionment following the 2010 Census will produce four new House seats for Texas, one for Florida, Arizona, Utah and Nevada, and none for California for the first time since 1850. Massachusetts, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Illinois are projected to lose one each, and Ohio two. Americans have been moving, even in (this current) recession, away from Democratic strongholds and toward Republican turf.
For more info visit http://www.polidata.org